| Thursday, December 28, 2006 |
11:14 - Isn't it uncool yet?
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,239401,00.html
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I was skeptical when John Gruber blew past analysts with his prediction of 24 million iPods sold this Christmas (up from last year's 14 million and 2004's 4 million). After all, nothing can last this long in the public consciousness of cool, can it? Especially not something tech-geeky? I've honestly expected some kind of anti-iPod backlash to overwhelm it for the whole past year now (and longer), a seething tide of parody and social stigma and peer ridicule welling up from God-knows-what cavern of our collective wounded individualistic and anti-corporate-juggernaut pride.
But maybe I'll be waiting for some while yet. Apparently, even after the iTunes Store has been souped up to its current everyday operating capacity, and fortified against what they surely would have foreseen as a heavy holiday rush, it still got swamped yesterday.
Maybe it's still way too soon to predict the iPod's fall from grace. When even my Sansa-using co-workers are buying their kids iPods (and trying to justify giving their kids the Sansas and keeping the iPods for themselves), maybe the mojo hasn't run out yet. And we still haven't seen what they've got up their sleeves for the next generation...
Via JMH, who says:
They left out the traditional "may look good but Apple is still in a precarious position ..." Or this is evidence that Zune will take over the market lead in the next 6/12/18 months because Apple does not have the stamina to maintain its tenuous hold on 75% of the market. Plus with Vista hitting the stores in Jan, it will be unlikely that users will be willing to wait for the next release of OS X which may be released in 2007.
Or such.
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Brian Tiemann
