g r o t t o 1 1

Peeve Farm
Breeding peeves for show, not just to keep as pets
Brian Tiemann
Silicon Valley-based purveyor of a confusing mixture of Apple punditry and political bile.

btman at grotto11 dot com

Read These Too:

InstaPundit
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James Lileks
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As the Apple Turns
Entropicana
Cold Fury
Capitalist Lion
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.clue
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Rosenblog

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Tuesday, August 31, 2004
14:53 - The Mythical Man-Month Strikes Again
http://zdnet.com.com/2100-1104_2-5327150.html?tag=nl

(top) link
So this happened while I was away, eh?

"In order to make this date (of 2006), we've had to simplify some things, to stagger it. One of the things we're staggering is the Windows storage work," Jim Allchin, Microsoft's vice president in charge of Windows development, said in an interview with CNET News.com. "We’ll still have rapid search covering the data just as we planned."

The software maker has not had a full release of its desktop operating system since Windows XP debuted in October 2001, although the company has shipped specialized versions of the operating system, such as the Tablet PC and Media Center editions. Microsoft has also been faced with a strain on its programming resources for Longhorn, with much of the Windows development team commandeered to complete the Service Pack 2 security update to Windows XP, which Microsoft finished earlier this month.

Longhorn was originally supposed to have three major changes: a new file system, WinFS; a new graphics and presentation engine known as Avalon; and Indigo, a Web services and communication architecture.

Microsoft is making changes to all three pillars. WinFS will be available as a beta when the Longhorn release comes out as a client. Avalon and Indigo will be part of Longhorn, but also made available separately for Windows XP and Windows Server 2003.

That's majorly sucky for Longhorn fans... and anyone who was hoping to see WinFS go head-to-head with Spotlight when Tiger hits shelves next year. But now it looks like Apple will be hitting the streets alone with a fully rich data-mining subsystem, and one that's totally backward-compatible and doesn't require a new filesystem at that. We'd thought Tiger would be competing with a contemporaneous rival on the merits of specific functionality advantages of its implementation; now it seems it'll be running with a multiple-year head-start to boot. I hope Steve's pancreas is okay, because oh, the sugar rush he must have got when this news broke. Gates is still calling a unified file-storage/search system the "Holy Grail"; now the grail-shaped beacon will be alight in Cupertino for years before the Redmond knights storm the keep.

And Avalon (the Quartz-like windowing effects manager) is going to be severely scaled back; and Indigo, the communication/Web engine, is going to be chopped up too. Word is also that Microsoft has been hemorrhaging employees and morale is nose-diving. It doesn't sound like much of a fun time going down at the ol' dream factory. But hey, at least they'll ship on time, huh? Well, more on time...

As some friends and I were discussing over lunch, Microsoft's policy of making absolutely everything infinitely backwards-compatible has always been destined to bite them on the ass—they've just been able to stave off the inevitable for years and years. But the end might be near; something has to break, and now that the whole house of cards that is Windows is so huge and so rickety that it essentially has to be swept clean off the table and begun again from scratch, every user in the world will be left in the cold. Meanwhile, Apple's policy of allowing small breakages in backward-compatibility—along with "soft" upgrade pressures like the general malaise of running Classic apps within Mac OS X, rather than any specific OS feature necessities—means that Mac users have always been able to deal with upgrade growing pains on a small, relatively painless, piecemeal basis. So your favorite newsreader breaks in 10.3? Just wait, there'll be a patched version out in a week. But what'll Windows users do when everyone's apps have to be rewritten to deal with WinFS?

I don't see that Microsoft could or even should have done things differently; they may well have had no economically viable choice in the matter, and they may have been fated to wed themselves eternally to 1985 by the very nature of their business. But since Apple is in a different business from Microsoft's, they get to stand at the minimum safe distance, still patiently turning flittery hand gestures into Fabergé eggs while a flaming wreck crashes to earth in the background. This is going to be an interesting industry to watch for the next couple of years...


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